Data Brief: GLP-1 Prescriptions for Weight Loss over Time, 2018-2023

The number of GLP-1 prescriptions for weight loss has increased over 33 times in California from 2018 to 2023. In addition, the total cost has increased over 50 times during the same period. In response, Medi-Cal has changed its GLP-1 drug coverage to remove all the GLP-1 drugs prescribed only for weight loss  and limited GPL-1s drugs prescribed for both weight loss and diabetes control to only include prescriptions for diabetes control from their list of covered drugs starting in 2026. In addition, other payers types have taken steps to limit costs for GLP-1s.

Introduction

GLP-1 (Glucagon-like peptide-1) drugs have been around for many years but have recently grown in popularity among diabetes and obesity patients. GLP-1s are injectable medications that work by increasing insulin production and delaying digestion to control hunger. For diabetic patients this therapeutic class helps control blood glucose levels and can be used in combination with other common diabetic drugs such as insulin and metformin. For obesity and weight loss patients, the delayed digestion and feeling of fullness promotes weight loss.1

GLP-1s have been part of diabetic treatment plans since 2005. In 2014, the FDA approved the first GLP-1 for weight loss. While GLP-1 use has been shown to lead to meaningful weight loss and to greatly reduce the likelihood of conditions and complications associated with obesity, such as cardiovascular disease, the costs of these drugs are prohibitive. Reducing the costs of GLP-1s for weight loss is essential for maintaining equitable access for all Californians4, 5.

In this data brief, HCAI will examine the usage of GLP-1 for weight loss, over time comparing Medi-Cal and commercial total costs and mapping total cost per member by county. The NDCs for the GLP-1s were limited to weekly inject pens and patients with diabetes were removed from the analysis.

The analyses for this report were conducted using data from California’s Healthcare Payments Data (HPD) Program. HPD is California’s All Payer Claims Database or APCD; it is a research database comprised of healthcare administrative data: claims and encounters generated by transactions among payers and providers on behalf of insured individuals. For additional information about the HPD Program, including details on data sources, populations included, and data elements available, see HPD Public Reporting FAQHPD Resources and Technical Notes.

The following visualizations present data from retail pharmaceutical claims paid by Medi-Cal or commercial plans. The analyses of total costs and out-of-pocket costs do not include rebates, coupons, or other discounts (see the Notes and Glossary sections for definitions and more details).

This analysis increased the homogeneity of the GLP-1 drugs by removing any NDC which is a weekly injection pen. In addition, prescriptions that were prescribed to an individual with diabetes were removed, which increased the likelihood that the prescription was for weight loss.

Key Findings

  • The GLP-1 trend data shows increase in the number of prescriptions of GLP-1s for weight loss, but for Trulicity there is a slight reduction in 2023 (a 40% reduction from 2022 to 2023). This downturn may be attributed to the shortage in GLP-1 active ingredients that began in late 2022 and persisted until mid-2025. 2,3  
  • While the overall total cost for GLP-1s was comparable for commercial payers and Medi-Cal ($405.2M vs. $416.8M) in 2023, specific drugs had some variation. For instance, Ozempic’s total cost was greater for commercial plans, while the total cost for Wegovy was greater for Medi-Cal.
  • The statewide cost per member was $5,329. The county with the lowest per-member cost was Lassen with $3,051 per member while the county with the highest per-member cost was Mendocino with $5,906 per member.

Visualization

Notes: These visualizations display fee-for-service (FFS) retail pharmaceutical costs (billed on a pharmacy claim) paid by an insurance plan only; medical pharmaceutical costs (billed on a medical/institutional claim), non-FFS (e.g., capitated) pharmaceutical costs, and non-covered drug products are not included in these numbers.

The cost data does not reflect rebates, coupons, or other discounts, as these are not reported to HCAI.

Funding sources are based on the companies, programs, and organizations that oversee insurance plans and reimburse healthcare providers. Medi-Cal is a public health insurance program that provides free or low-cost medical services and healthcare benefits to low-income individuals, financed by state and federal funds. California’s version of Medicaid. Includes FFS Medi-Cal and managed care Medi-Cal. Commercial are Insurance products for which the coverage premium is paid by a private party, such as an employer, individual, or other entity.

Notes:

  • These visualizations display fee-for-service (FFS) retail pharmaceutical costs (billed on a pharmacy claim) paid by an insurance plan only; medical pharmaceutical costs (billed on a medical/institutional claim), non-FFS (e.g., capitated) pharmaceutical costs, and non-covered drug products are not included in these numbers.
  • The cost data does not reflect rebates, coupons, or other discounts, as these are not reported to HCAI.

How HCAI Created this Product

This report follows the California Health and Human Services Agency’s Data De-Identification Guidelines. Data from any group with less than 30 individuals is removed from the analyses and suppressed in the visualizations before calculating the measures or aggregating across groups. Suppression will result in some error in the reported rates, especially in counties with small populations or measures where prevalence and rates are generally lower. Use caution when interpreting results for individual counties with less than 30,000 residents.

This product uses a different suppression method than the Healthcare Payments Data (HPD): Fee-For-Service Drug Costs in California. The Fee-For-Service Drug Costs in California excluded NDCs which were prescribed to fewer than 100 individuals, while this product excluded drug names which were prescribed fewer than 30 times. These differences in suppression methods will cause the overall numbers to differ between the two products.

For information about measure definitions please see the HPD Healthcare Measures Technical Note (2018-2021) – October 2024.

Additional Information

Topic: Healthcare UtilizationHealthcare Utilization
Source Link: Cost Transparency – Healthcare Payments Database
Citation: HCAI – Healthcare Payments Database – GLP-1 prescriptions for Weight Loss Over Time, March 2026
Temporal Coverage: 2018-2023
Spatial/Geographic Coverage: Statewide, County
Frequency: Annually